Analysis of My December 4, 2014 NBA FanDuel Lineup
Last night was a very frustrating night of NBA Basketball for several reasons. First, I fell trap to listening to the sports writers insisting that a certain player was a “must start” only to have him perform worse that every other player on the team. Second, one of my players that was slated to start got the dreaded DNP (“Did Not Play”). Not only did he not start, it looks like he might have lost his slot in the rotation. Third, I had my trigger finger ready to pull on one of the cheap studs of the night and talked myself out of it. That would have been amazing if I could have realized I am an idiot and just went with my gut feelings.
My December 2014 NBA Bankroll
In any event, despite these frustrations, my team managed a healthy 270 fantasy points, enough to cash at $2.50. Since the entry was only $1 – one of the reasons I love playing in NBA Swat games (i.e., high payouts for low entry fees) – this game puts me $1.50 on the good side.
December 4, 2014 Bankroll: $50.00.
December 5, 2014 Bankroll: $51.50.
It occurred to me after I posted my lineup last night that I did not explain the challenge I am having with myself. I want to take $50 and see if I can turn that into $75 or $100. I’ve been able to experience those kinds of returns in the past. Of course, I have never publicly shared those efforts so I am sure that I will crash and burn. At least the process will be fun!
My December 4, 2014 Lineup
PG 1: D. Sloan– Donald Sloan was slated to get the start. Based on his previous scores and his lower perceived value, this was a no-brainer and I actually used this player (and his low value) to build the rest of my team around. Unfortunately for me, as well as 17.1% of the rest of the FanDuelers that selected him, Sloan did not play and contributed not one point to my team’s total score. When you consider that he typically provides 20 fantasy points, my score would have been closer to 390, which would have increased my bankroll significantly (especially if Matthews, discussed below, wasn’t such a dud).
PG 2: K. Irving – On the other hand, my second Point Guard was exactly what the doctor ordered. Posting 44.6 fantasy points, Irving has 37 points, 2 steals, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while only committing 3 turnovers. Although he cost $8,300, anytime you can get a 40 plus point night for that price, it helps keep pace with the big dogs on their way to cashing the big prize.
SG 1: W. Matthews – This guy broke my heart. I can’t tell you how many blogs I read yesterday saying that I had to start him as he was “the play” of the day. At $6,100 and a recent history of nice performances, I was only too eager to get caught up in that propaganda – hook, line and sinker! However, providing me with a dismal 13 fantasy points gave him the honor of being the biggest loser on my team. Indeed, Matthews and Sloan probably kept me from cashing over $20 last night.
SG 2: K. Thompson – Like Irving, Thompson had a great night and contributed 39.3 fantasy points, which consisted of 23 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds, 2 steals, and 1 block, against only 2 turnovers. For his conservative price of $7,600 and last night’s limited basketball schedule, I was happy with that performance.
SF 1: H. Barnes – For me, the value of the night came in the form of this forward. Knocking back 29.5 fantasy points on his $5,100 salary was a nice surprise. I thought I was a genius until I realized that he was owned by 48.2% of fantasy team owners last night. Oh well, at least I did not miss that opportunity and it allowed my team to keep pace to stay in the money.
SF 2: N. Batum – Another pleasant surprise was Batum and his 33.5 fantasy points. Scoring 13 points, 5 assists, 3 steals, 5 rebounds, and 2 blocks, with only 3 turnovers – especially on his salary of $6,600 – Batum is welcome to do that on my team any night!
PF 1: A. Stoudemire – This Knicks power forward earned the start a few games ago and is really paying dividends already. At a salary of $5,500, it is only a matter of time before FanDuel gives him a raise, especially if he keeps dropping 30 plus fantasy points each night. Stoudemire scored a health 30.8 fantasy points last night, including 18 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assist, 1 block and 1 steal. Of course, he also committed 5 turnovers but that is to be expected if you want a player that gets in the mix looking for steals, blocks and turnovers.
PF 2: A. Davis – This guy is making a run at the NBA MVP title this year. However, even if he does not make it, he is already FanDuel’s MVP. While he is very expensive – his salary is $11,700 – he rarely disappoints and routinely donates over sixty fantasy points. Last night was no exception and Davis contributed 60.5 fantasy points, which consists of 30 points, 15 rebounds, 3 blocks, 3 assists and 2 steals. Moreover, he only committed 2 turnovers. I intend to start this guy anytime I can work him into my team, for sure!
C: Dalembert – The New York Knicks were supposed to start this guy. With a very modest price tag of $3,700, I could not pass him up as starting players are typically worth that price no matter how uncertain I am that they will give me a good return on investment. Well, he did not start but still managed to give me 18.8 fantasy points. At that salary, combined with the fact that only 5.8% of fantasy teams had him, made this coach happy he selected Dalembert.